Guatemala vs Panama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 3
GTM
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
PER
0 - 0
GTM
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
GTM
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
GTM
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 2
JAM
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
PAN
4 - 1
BMU
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
HND
0 - 0
PAN
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
3 - 0
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
1 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
SLV
1 - 1
PAN
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |