Guatemala vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 0
GTM
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
USA
6 - 0
GTM
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GTM
0 - 4
ARG
7%
18%
74%
|
73 | 96 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
GTM
1 - 4
COL
16%
26%
57%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
GTM
1 - 3
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 2
BLZ
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
2 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
GTM
1 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 1
NIC
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
PRI
3 - 1
NIC
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |