Guatemala vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 0
BLZ
89%
9%
3%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 1
HTI
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 0
GTM
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
GTM
1 - 2
PAR
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2005 |
GTM
1 - 1
COL
27%
30%
43%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
HND
5 - 1
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
VCT
4 - 1
NIC
30%
24%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 2
VCT
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
CRC
5 - 1
NIC
93%
5%
1%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 0
BMU
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |