Guatemala vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
52.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
4 - 0
NIC
84%
11%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 0
BLZ
89%
9%
3%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 1
HTI
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 0
GTM
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
GTM
1 - 2
PAR
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
BLZ
0 - 4
HND
2%
9%
89%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
HND
5 - 1
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
HND
0 - 0
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 0
HND
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
HND
1 - 1
CAN
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |