Guatemala vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
USA
2 - 0
GTM
78%
15%
6%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
CUB
2 - 1
GTM
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
GTM
0 - 0
TTO
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
GTM
4 - 1
CUB
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
TTO
1 - 1
GTM
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
CUB
0 - 1
HTI
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HTI
2 - 3
GLP
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
HTI
1 - 1
ATG
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
SUR
1 - 1
HTI
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
CRC
2 - 0
HTI
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |