Guatemala vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
USA
4 - 0
GTM
74%
18%
8%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2005 |
GTM
3 - 1
CRC
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
MEX
5 - 2
GTM
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
JAM
2 - 1
GTM
46%
28%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2005 |
GTM
0 - 0
USA
20%
27%
53%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 1
HTI
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
TTO
0 - 1
HTI
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
TTO
2 - 1
HTI
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
TTO
1 - 0
HTI
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CUB
1 - 1
HTI
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |