Guatemala vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 2
PAN
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 3
GTM
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
PER
0 - 0
GTM
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
GTM
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
GTM
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
USA
1 - 1
HTI
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
HTI
18%
23%
60%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TCA
0 - 2
HTI
7%
14%
79%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
HTI
5 - 0
TCA
86%
11%
3%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
HTI
1 - 1
NIC
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |