Guatemala vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
USA
2 - 0
GTM
78%
15%
6%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
CUB
2 - 1
GTM
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
GTM
0 - 0
TTO
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
GTM
4 - 1
CUB
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
CRC
3 - 0
PAN
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
SLV
1 - 3
CRC
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
CRC
2 - 0
HTI
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SUR
1 - 4
CRC
5%
15%
80%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
HTI
1 - 3
CRC
25%
28%
48%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |