Guatemala vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 0
SLV
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
GTM
1 - 1
JAM
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
GTM
0 - 1
SLV
63%
20%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2002 |
MEX
3 - 1
GTM
86%
10%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 1
CRC
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ECU
2 - 2
CRC
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CRC
1 - 1
ECU
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
CRC
2 - 5
BRA
2%
10%
88%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
CRC
1 - 1
TUR
54%
23%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |