Guatemala vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
MEX
0 - 0
GTM
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 1
GTM
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
GTM
8%
18%
74%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 0
GTM
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GTM
1 - 3
CRC
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
CYP
0 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
JAM
3 - 0
CAN
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 2
MEX
18%
26%
57%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
HND
3 - 1
CAN
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
2 - 1
CAN
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |