Guatemala U20 vs Mexico U20 analysis

Guatemala U20 Mexico U20
44 ELO 65
1.8% Tilt -8.2%
5092º General ELO ranking 1695º
26º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
13.1%
Guatemala U20
19.3%
Draw
67.7%
Mexico U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
Guatemala U20
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.7%
Win probability
Mexico U20
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guatemala U20
-8%
-9%
Mexico U20

ELO progression

Guatemala U20
Mexico U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guatemala U20
Guatemala U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2024
PAN
Panama U20
3 - 0
Guatemala U20
GTM
59%
22%
19%
45 52 7 0
03 Mar. 2024
CUR
Curaçao U20
0 - 1
Guatemala U20
GTM
24%
22%
54%
45 32 13 0
01 Mar. 2024
GTM
Guatemala U20
5 - 0
Aruba U20
ARU
72%
16%
13%
45 19 26 0
26 Feb. 2024
MAF
Saint Martin U20
0 - 6
Guatemala U20
GTM
14%
17%
69%
44 5 39 +1
24 Feb. 2024
GTM
Guatemala U20
3 - 1
Barbados U20
BAR
70%
17%
12%
44 24 20 0

Matches

Mexico U20
Mexico U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2024
MEX
Mexico U20
4 - 0
Haiti U20
HAI
65%
19%
17%
64 49 15 0
28 Sep. 2022
MEX
Mexico U20
2 - 1
Peru U20
PER
63%
20%
17%
64 55 9 0
25 Sep. 2022
MEX
Mexico U20
2 - 1
USA U20
USA
38%
23%
39%
63 66 3 +1
22 Sep. 2022
MEX
Mexico U20
1 - 1
Paraguay U20
PAR
43%
23%
34%
63 63 0 0
30 Jun. 2022
GTM
Guatemala U20
1 - 1
Mexico U20
MEX
13%
20%
67%
63 46 17 0
X