Guastatoya vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 4
LEO
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
6 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
COB
48%
28%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
ANT
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
ANT
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |