Guastatoya vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
COA
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
HAL
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
MUN
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
COA
0 - 1
UNI
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
DEP
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |