Guastatoya vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
7º
4º
44
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
COM
2 - 0
GUA
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
ANT
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
IZT
0 - 1
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
ACH
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
XIN
0 - 1
MUN
30%
30%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |