Guastatoya vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 0
GUA
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
CHI
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MIX
0 - 1
GUA
32%
31%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
XIN
3 - 0
GUA
28%
32%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
COB
0 - 0
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 3
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 1
ANT
46%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
IZT
3 - 2
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 1
ACH
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |