Guastatoya vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
26.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
GUA
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
COB
0 - 1
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 1
DEP
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -8 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CON
0 - 0
MUN
21%
30%
49%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 2
ANT
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +8 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
MUN
37%
30%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |