Guastatoya vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
COM
3 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COB
3 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
ANT
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
COB
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANT
3 - 0
LEO
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 2
VEN
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
LEO
46%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |