CONCACAF Champions Cup Last 16
Global 0-3
Guastatoya vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COM
2 - 2
GUA
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
SOL
69%
21%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
ANT
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 3
GUA
44%
29%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
ACH
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PUM
2 - 1
LEO
34%
25%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 1
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
ATS
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LEO
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |