Guastatoya vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
7º
4º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
GUA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
ANT
43%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COB
0 - 0
GUA
48%
29%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
TOR
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 0
GUA
33%
32%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
ACH
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
CHI
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ANT
6 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 0
ACH
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |