Guarulhos vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
50%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CAT
3 - 0
GUA
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SJS
1 - 1
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
SKA
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
IND
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ECN
1 - 2
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |