Guareña vs CD Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
65.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
GUA
28%
23%
50%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
CAM
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
GUA
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
GUA
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 2
RMC
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 5
QUI
35%
23%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 3
SAM
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 0
GIM
81%
12%
6%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 2
QUI
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |