Guareña vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
GUA
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ZAL
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 0
GUA
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
RMC
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
HER
5 - 1
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HER
5 - 1
CAB
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 4
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |