Guareña vs CD Nueva Ciudad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLY
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GIM
4 - 3
GUA
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
RMC
2 - 2
GUA
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Nueva Ciudad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 0
RMC
23%
21%
56%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
CDN
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 0
CDN
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CDN
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDN
0 - 1
QUI
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |