Guareña vs Campanario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
GUA
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
GUA
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ZAL
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 0
GUA
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Campanario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 2
RMC
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 3
CAM
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 2
SAM
29%
24%
48%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
CPC
7%
20%
73%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 1
CAM
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |