Guareña vs Cabeza Del Buey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
GIM
49%
23%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLY
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 1
CDT
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CAB
2 - 1
GUA
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cabeza Del Buey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 1
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAB
2 - 1
CDT
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MON
0 - 3
CAB
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 3
SAM
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CAB
2 - 1
GUA
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |