Guareña vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
USA
0 - 1
GUA
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
SNV
63%
21%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 4
HER
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OLY
2 - 3
GUA
7%
15%
79%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
USA
1 - 2
AMA
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
AMA
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CRS
1 - 4
AMA
10%
16%
75%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CFJ
2 - 2
AMA
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |