Guareña vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
CPR
27%
23%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 0
GUA
64%
19%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
MET
59%
21%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UDF
0 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
ADL
1 - 0
OLY
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CDB
4 - 4
ADL
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ADL
5 - 1
CDT
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ZAL
2 - 1
ADL
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ADL
1 - 1
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |