UD La Guardia vs Recreativo Bailén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
IDJ
1 - 0
LAG
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 3
CPH
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
URG
1 - 3
LAG
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
LAG
3 - 1
FUE
36%
23%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ADM
1 - 0
LAG
65%
19%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BAI
5 - 1
CDT
52%
23%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAI
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BAI
0 - 0
ICF
37%
26%
37%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
IDJ
2 - 4
BAI
19%
21%
61%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BAI
3 - 0
CPH
46%
24%
30%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |