Guarda FC vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2078%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
13º
8º
18
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 50 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 68.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GFC
0 - 0
CIN
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COI
0 - 2
GFC
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
1 - 0
ADM
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 1
GFC
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
REG
1 - 0
GFC
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 0
GON
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GON
1 - 0
ALP
47%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GON
1 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CIN
0 - 0
GON
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
COI
0 - 0
GON
35%
25%
39%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |