Guarda FC vs Coimbrões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+402%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
14º
14º
3
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
4 - 0
GFC
83%
11%
6%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 2
CAM
11%
17%
73%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Coimbrões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COI
0 - 3
SAL
20%
21%
60%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
COI
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
COI
0 - 4
SAL
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
COI
2 - 1
GON
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 0
COI
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |