Guarda FC vs Camacha analysis

Guarda FC Camacha
6 ELO 38
-0.1% Tilt 0%
16832º General ELO ranking 6381º
320º Country ELO ranking 115º
ELO win probability
11%
Guarda FC
16.6%
Draw
72.5%
Camacha

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
Guarda FC
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.5%
Win probability
Camacha
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guarda FC
+402%
-30%
Camacha

Points and table prediction

Guarda FC
Their league position
Camacha
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
14º
14º
5
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SC Salgueiros
9
49
29%
Beira Mar SC
9
48
23%
Leça FC
10
48
13%
AD Marco 09
6
45
15.5%
Camacha
5
40
10.5%
Marítimo II
14º
0
39
8%
Alpendorada
7
39
10.5%
Gondomar
3
38
13.5%
Cinfães
7
36
10%
Machico
12º
1
33
10º
11%
Uniao Lamas
7
32
11º
23%
Coimbrões
10º
3
25
12º
23%
Regua
13º
1
20
13º
27.5%
Guarda FC
11º
3
16
14º
45.5%
Expected probabilities
Guarda FC
Camacha
100% 100%

ELO progression

Guarda FC
Camacha
Gondomar
Marítimo II
Regua
Alpendorada
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Camacha
Camacha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2024
PEV
Pevidém
2 - 0
Camacha
CAM
50%
25%
25%
39 42 3 0
24 Mar. 2024
CAM
Camacha
0 - 1
Vilar de Perdizes
VPE
53%
25%
23%
39 35 4 0
17 Mar. 2024
MIR
Mirandela
2 - 3
Camacha
CAM
24%
25%
51%
38 32 6 +1
09 Mar. 2024
CAM
Camacha
0 - 2
Dumiense FC
DUM
51%
25%
24%
39 36 3 -1
03 Mar. 2024
OSA
Os Sandinenses
0 - 0
Camacha
CAM
35%
23%
42%
39 33 6 0
X