Guarda Desportiva vs Rebordosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
14º
14º
48
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarda Desportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 0
GUA
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
6 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
LUS
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GON
1 - 0
REB
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ARO
5 - 0
REB
82%
14%
5%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
REB
3 - 1
GRI
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
REB
24%
24%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |