Guarda Desportiva vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
14º
14º
38
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarda Desportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 3
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
REB
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 0
GUA
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
6 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GON
0 - 0
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GON
2 - 3
PEN
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GON
3 - 2
RES
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
GON
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GON
1 - 0
REB
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |