Guarda Desportiva vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
14º
14º
29
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarda Desportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
VAL
18%
23%
60%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 3
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
ALP
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
GON
15%
24%
61%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAL
5 - 4
ALP
80%
15%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 3
REB
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RES
0 - 3
ALP
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |