Guaratinguetá vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
4 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
23%
28%
49%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
4 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
21%
24%
56%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
APA
0 - 4
YPI
10%
17%
73%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
YPI
1 - 0
POR
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
YPI
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
YPI
0 - 2
FLU
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
YPI
0 - 0
JUV
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |