Guaratinguetá vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PPE
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
CRI
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 3
POR
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 3
GOI
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
GRÊ
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |