Guaratinguetá vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
6 - 2
GUA
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
YPI
3 - 2
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOG
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 5
JUV
19%
26%
55%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
TOM
4 - 0
YPI
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 1
TOM
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
35%
30%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 1
TOM
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |