Guaratinguetá vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
GUA
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRÊ
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
RBB
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |