Guaratinguetá vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 1
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 3
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 5
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
OES
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
MIR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |