Guaratinguetá vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
MOG
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 1
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
MIR
0 - 3
SAN
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |