Guaratinguetá vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
RBB
5 - 3
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 0
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 2
AUD
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
RBB
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
AUD
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
RBB
0 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 1
RBB
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |