Guaratinguetá vs RB Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
GUA
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RBB
2 - 0
AUD
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RBB
2 - 2
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
RBB
27%
25%
49%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 0
VEL
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
RBB
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |