Guaratinguetá vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
GUA
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
PRI
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 2
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
SJS
37%
27%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
PRI
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +2 |