Guaratinguetá vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 4
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
AME
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 1
OSV
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
OSV
3 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OSV
4 - 1
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 0
OSV
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OSV
3 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |