Guaratinguetá vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 3
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 3
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
OSV
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
ATL
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
NOR
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
3 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |