Guaratinguetá vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMF
26%
26%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ASA
3 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
AUD
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |