Guaratinguetá vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 5
JUV
19%
26%
55%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
22%
22%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
POR
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
MOG
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 2
PAL
10%
18%
73%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
MOG
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
MOG
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |