Guaratinguetá vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 2
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
COR
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ITU
3 - 0
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 0
BOT
39%
25%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 2
PAU
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
OES
0 - 0
MIR
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 1
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
MIR
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |