Guaratinguetá vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 2
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 3
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
JUV
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
MAD
20%
24%
57%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAD
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 1
CGA
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |