Guaratinguetá vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 1
GUA
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
BOT
22%
28%
51%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
YPI
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
4 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
YPI
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 4
GUA
33%
30%
38%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOM
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |